NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — A wet week is expected across Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. Rain and storms are likely Monday through Thursday. We are also eyeing the potential of severe weather on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Overall outlook
Sunday night's storms have weakened and the Marginal Risk for our western counties has been dropped. However, there will still be some sporadic lightning and a few heavy downpours.
The primary timeframe for greater severe weather chances will be Tuesday and Wednesday. For Tuesday through 7 a.m. Wednesday, the Storm Prediction Center has most of our region under a Slight Risk (level 2/5), and a level 1/5 Marginal Risk for far southeast areas. Then on Wednesday, our entire area is in a Slight Risk (level 2/5).
The primary storm threat to impact everyone will be heavy rain and lightning. Inside of the stronger to severe storms, the main concern will be wind gusts over 40-50 mph. Also, large hail and tornadoes are possible.
Rain estimates
This is a lot of moisture in the atmosphere, therefore heavy rain will be the top concern. Through late Thursday, rain amounts in the 1-3 inch range, with isolated higher amounts (especially near and north of the TN/KY state line).
Future Tracker.
Monday is wet with off-and-on rain and storms. Sunshine will help destabilize the atmosphere to bring more thunderstorms. Some storms will be gusty and heavy, but the severe threat is extremely low. Expect heavy downpours and water ponding on the roads.
Looking to Tuesday's storm chance, this is highly conditional. During the day, a few scattered storms. Severe storms are likely to develop near the Ohio River, and they could slide into our region late evening and overnight.
On Wednesday, this will be the higher potential day for strong storms in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. Storms will develop in Kentucky by the afternoon and slide into Tennessee during the late afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts will be the top concern, but hail and tornadoes are possible as well.
A lot of information here, but it is important to stay Weather Alert on Tuesday and Wednesday. After a cold front arrives Thursday evening, we will catch a break in the humidity and a slight cooldown for Mother's Day weekend. Unfortunately, a few showers remain possible.
Don’t forget to take the power and reliability of the WKRN Weather Authority with you at all times by downloading the News 2 Storm Tracker app.