NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — More strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this morning through Thursday morning in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. A Tornado Watch has been issued for most of Southern Kentucky (along and west of I-65) until 6 a.m. Wednesday. Please make sure you have a way to get the warnings.
Counties included in the Tornado Watch for Southern Kentucky: Christian, Logan, Muhlenberg, Simpson, Todd, Trigg, and Warren.
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Outlook for Wednesday
Now until Thursday morning, the overall weather parameters show the risk of significant severe weather in our region.
All modes of severe weather are possible including heavy rain leading to flooding, damaging wind gusts at 70mph+, large hail, and tornadoes (some could even be strong).
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The outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center:
Now - 7 a.m. Wednesday: A Slight Risk (level 2/5) for areas along and north of I-40, and a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for locations south of I-40. A few severe storms are possible Wednesday morning.
Wednesday - 7 a.m. Thursday: A MODERATE Risk (level 4/5) for NW & North Central Middle TN and SW/South Central Southern Kentucky, and an Enhanced Risk (level 3/5) for the remaining viewing area, and a Slight Risk (level 2/5) for a small section of the far southern counties to the TN/AL state line.
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On Thursday, there is a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for south and eastern areas from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m. Storms should clear our area by mid-morning Thursday.
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Rain estimates
This is a lot of moisture in the atmosphere, therefore heavy rain will be the top concern. Through late Thursday, rain amounts in the 1-4 inch range, with isolated higher amounts.
A Flood Watch goes into effect at 1 a.m. Wednesday and last until 7 a.m. Thursday. After a strong front moves through Kentucky and Tennessee overnight into Wednesday morning, the severe threat becomes a flooding threat.
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Future Tracker.
A few scattered storms could develop overnight into Wednesday morning. These storms have all modes of severe weather possible. The timeline is a little later, but strong storms could pop-up after midnight. Storms could continue through the morning affecting the drive to work and school.
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On Wednesday, this will be the highest potential day for strong storms in Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. First, showers and storms will be ongoing in the morning to early afternoon. Then, sunshine breaks through and highs in the lower to middle 80s.
A significant batch of severe storms will develop in Kentucky and Arkansas by the evening and slide into Tennessee. Damaging wind gusts, hail, and tornadoes are all possible. Strong storms could develop from the evening into Thursday morning. Once storms lose some power this could become a flooding event.
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A lot of information here, but it is important to stay weather alert. After a cold front arrives Thursday evening, we will catch a break in the humidity and a slight cool down for Mother's Day weekend. A few showers remain possible on Saturday.
