NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — The big weather story is the incoming cold, wind, and potential for parts of Tennessee to see their first flakes of the season. This might not come as a surprise, but this first winter blast is coming much later than normal.
Nashville's average first freeze is November 1. So far this fall the coldest temperature in Music City is 37°.
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The News 2 weather authority team is forecasting near-freezing temperatures in Nashville from Friday, November 22 through Sunday, November 24.
If the temperature does drop to 32° on the 22nd, 23rd, or 24th it will be the 2nd latest first freeze on record. Nashville temperature records go back to the 1870s. The latest freeze on record is November 27, which occurred in 2009.
Some forecast models are keeping temperatures above freezing in Nashville and much of Middle Tennessee. If those models are correct and Nashville stays above freezing during this cold snap, the record for the latest freeze will likely be broken.
The extended forecast shows mild temperatures returning after the weekend. Both the 6-10 and 8-14 days temperature outlooks have Tennessee seeing above-average temperatures.
Long-range forecast models are showing the potential for even colder temperatures after Thanksgiving, but that is after November 27.
It's not just Nashville that has been warm, much of the eastern half of the country has seen one of the warmest falls on record. We have been so warm because a strong ridge of high pressure has been in control for all of October and the first few weeks of November. This ridge of high pressure has also caused the eastern half of the country to be extremely dry this fall.
Just now we are seeing our weather pattern change. That's why we are seeing more rain chances and outbreaks of colder temperatures.
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